Key Drivers
- Strong cash flow
- High leverage
- Large intangibles
AIAI Summary
ACEL has shifted from a regulatory-dependent Illinois play to a cash-generative, acquisition-capable roll-up whose upside now hinges on disciplined tuck-in execution, accelerating TITO adoption to sustain margin expansion, and meaningful net-leverage reduction (monitor quarterly bolt‑on cadence, TITO deployment metrics, and net debt/EBITDA trend); failure on any of those fronts — especially a slowdown in EBITDA or rising refinancing risk — would quickly compress value.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Strong cash flow
- •High leverage
- •Large intangibles
ACEL generates strong revenue, cash flow and returns with ample liquidity, but excessive leverage and large intangibles relative to equity create material balance-sheet risk.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Below last-month SMA
- •Defined support band
- •Recent sharp decline
Price sits below its last-month SMA (~$11.32) at $10.92, trading on a held support band around $10.78–$11.00 but vulnerable to further weakness if that band breaks after a sharp drop from the $13.06 peak.
Rapid decline from $13.06 on 2026-03-04 indicates elevated short-term volatility
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Record Q4 revenue
- •Analyst upgrades
- •Chicago VGT catalyst
- •News View: Strengthened fundamentals and legislative upside should sustain share momentum and justify multiple expansion if Illinois growth and EBITDA prove durable.
Accel Entertainment reported record Q4 revenue and an EPS beat, prompting analyst upgrades, mid‑20% price‑target upside and optimism that Chicago VGT legalization could materially expand Illinois EBITDA.
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