Key Drivers
- Strong EBITDA
- High leverage
- Tight liquidity
AIAI Summary
The Sun Country merger transforms Allegiant from a single‑fleet leisure recovery story into a consolidation play where realizing the ~$140m run‑rate synergies (and early visible captures) — not just TRASM rebound — is the primary determinant of durable EPS upside, so investors should prioritize evidence of swift integration execution, measurable deleveraging, and sustained TRASM stabilization while watching legal/closing risks and tight liquidity that could force dilution if missed.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Strong EBITDA
- •High leverage
- •Tight liquidity
ALGT generates strong operating cash and healthy gross margins but carries heavy debt, tight liquidity and annual net losses that must be resolved for sustainable upside.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Below short-term trend
- •Rapid large drawdown
- •Defined mid‑$70s support
ALGT has dropped below its last-month trend (21‑day SMA ≈ $88.80) into a rapid ~30% drawdown from mid‑February peaks to the mid‑$70s, with immediate support around $74.66–$75.04 and resistance near $82–$85 signaling near‑term downside momentum until those bands are reclaimed.
Sharp ~30%+ fall from ~$114 on 2026-02-17 to mid‑$70s by mid‑March indicating elevated downside momentum
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Antitrust cleared
- •$140M synergies
- •Large share swings
Allegiant gains acquisition momentum after U.S. antitrust clearance for the $1.5B Sun Country deal and $140M synergies while volatile share moves and industry headwinds keep risk elevated.
The cleared deal materially boosts strategic upside and synergy-driven upside, but near-term returns hinge on sentiment volatility and fuel-cost exposure
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