Key Drivers
- Positive EBITDA
- Negative FCF
- High leverage
AIAI Summary
Ameresco's investment thesis now hinges on converting a growing, higher‑margin backlog into sustained positive free cash flow and material deleveraging via repeatable asset financings—if management cannot deliver predictable cash conversion and securitize receivables, elevated leverage and financing sensitivity create outsized downside despite margin improvements.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Positive EBITDA
- •Negative FCF
- •High leverage
AMRC generates solid gross and EBITDA margins but weak net profitability, heavy capex and negative free cash flow, and elevated leverage suggest operational strength isn't translating to shareholder value.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Near-term weak
- •Mean-reversion setup
- •Resistance congestion
AMRC is in a clear short-term downtrend over the last month, trading about 6% below the last-month average and much closer to the recent low (~$24.71), suggesting short-term weakness and a mean-reversion setup but facing immediate resistance at $27.10–$28.20 and larger supply at $30.95–$33.73.
Drop from $33.73 to $26.66 over the last month indicates sharp short-term decline
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Earnings beat
- •Project completions
- •Insider selling
Ameresco beat Q4 estimates and rallied, drew a “Moderate Buy” analyst consensus, completed major government and education projects, and saw some insider/institutional sell‑downs amid ongoing investor outreach.
The results and project wins support growth credibility and analyst optimism, though insider and institutional reductions introduce a modest cautionary signal for near‑term sentiment
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