Key Drivers
- High margins
- Heavy leverage
- Negative FCF
AIAI Summary
Avista is shifting from a defensive dividend utility to a capital‑intensive growth story where investment returns now depend on executing a $3.4–3.7B capex program and converting large data‑center load inquiries into rate‑recoverable projects. The key risk is strained FCF and very high leverage (net debt ≈ $3.19B, ~82% payout) that make dividend sustainability and funding contingent on timely regulatory recovery or equity/debt issuance—monitor load wins, rate‑case outcomes, and quarterly FCF/leverage trends.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •High margins
- •Heavy leverage
- •Negative FCF
AVA delivers strong margins and apparent valuation upside but is constrained by high leverage, weak liquidity and negative free cash flow amid heavy capex and a large dividend.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Below SMA
- •Near support
- •Resistance band
Price is trading below its last month 21-day SMA (~$40.07) and sitting near $38 support, signaling a short-term downtrend with resistance at the $40 SMA and a clear hurdle at $42.0–$42.2 to reassert bullishness.
Local high near $42.20 on 2026-02-23 established a clear resistance band while price has traded below the last month
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •5.01% yield
- •Institutional buying
- •Data‑center deposit
Avista is drawing renewed investor interest as a stable, dividend-paying regulated utility with modest growth, rising institutional stakes, and potential upside from a large data‑center deposit.
Supports income-focused investors and could modestly boost valuation if the data‑center deal proves accretive, though rural scale limits faster growth
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