Key Drivers
- High gross margin
- Weak liquidity
- High leverage
AIAI Summary
BJRI has shifted from a growth/remodel recovery story to a cash‑flow‑first, traffic‑led operational story where valuation hinges on sustaining remodel-driven margin lifts and converting promotional traffic into higher check/attach rather than rapid unit expansion. Monitor quarterly free‑cash‑flow persistence and clear deleveraging (meaningful debt reduction or improved current ratio) as the specific catalysts that would validate buybacks and re-rate the stock; failure to do so — or continued check compression — materially raises downside given tight liquidity and elevated leverage.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •High gross margin
- •Weak liquidity
- •High leverage
BJ's Restaurants pairs very high gross margins and solid EBITDA/free cash flow with worrying liquidity and leverage (negative working capital, low current ratio, high debt).
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Below SMA
- •15% retracement
- •Defined support
Price sits below the last month SMA (~$36.60) after a ~15% retracement from the late-February peak, showing short-term downside bias with support around $33.40–$34.10 and resistance near $40.00–$41.20.
~15% rapid pullback from the period high into late
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Beat estimates
- •Remodel-driven margins
- •Modest 2026 guidance
BJ's Restaurants beat Q4 expectations with stronger-than-forecast revenue and adjusted EPS, drove traffic via menu innovation and remodels that expanded margins and EBITDA, and guided to $140–$150M EBITDA with 1–3% comps for 2026.
The results and remodel progress support near-term earnings momentum and institutional interest, but analyst “Hold” ratings suggest limited upside without clearer upside to guidance
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