Brightstar Lottery

Fundamentals6.0
Price Action6.0
News Sentiment7.0
AI Rating
6.0

Key Drivers

  • High margins
  • High leverage
  • Negative FCF

AI
AI Summary

6.0

BRSL should be traded as a leverage/capital‑allocation story—not a pure growth equity—because solid mid‑single‑digit organic growth and strong margins are currently offset by large capex/license outflows and negative near‑term free cash flow that create tangible financing and covenant risk. Actionable trigger points: require sustainably positive FCF within 12–18 months, net debt under ~2x EBITDA, and on‑time Italy/license payments to re-rate the stock; failure to hit these should prompt expectations of dividend cuts or equity issuance.

OperationalResilience
Leverage
Deleveraging‍

Price Chart

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Financial Metrics

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Revenue (TTM)
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Net Income (TTM)
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EPS (Q)
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MCAP

Deep Analysis

Research tool. Not personalized advice.

Fundamental Analysis

6.0

Key Financial Insights:

  • High margins
  • High leverage
  • Negative FCF

BRSL shows strong operating margins but is hampered by very high leverage, weak liquidity and negative free cash flow, making it operationally resilient yet balance-sheet risky.

operational_strength
balance_sheet_risk

Price Behavior

6.0
Research tool. Not personalized advice. Technical analysis is for informational purposes only.

Key Price Behavior Insights:

  • Stabilized low-12s
  • Below last month MA
  • Resistance 13.5–13.6

BRSL is modestly negative: price has stabilized in the low-$12s after a pullback but remains below the last month moving average, with near-term support around $12.62 and immediate resistance at $13.50–$13.60—need a decisive close above the moving average and resistance to signal reversal.

bearish
stabilizing
Support Level: $12.62
Resistance Level: $13.50–$13.60

Printed recent low at $12.62 on 2026-03-18 establishing near-term support

Sentiment & News

7.0

Key News Insights:

  • Comp growth
  • Leverage cut
  • Shareholder returns

Brightstar beat Q4 and FY'25 expectations with 3.5% same‑store sales growth, lower leverage (2.4x), >$1bn returned to shareholders, a raised dividend, governance and sustainability moves, and a signal of accelerated FY'26 organic growth.

Outperformance
Sustainability

Stronger operating momentum, a healthier balance sheet and sizable capital returns should bolster investor confidence and support the stock into FY'26 while governance and ESG actions lower execution and reputational risks