Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.

Fundamentals4.0
Price Action3.0
News Sentiment4.0
AI Rating
4.0

Key Drivers

  • Book Support
  • Leverage Risk
  • Dividend Strain

AI
AI Summary

4.0

BXMT is no longer a simple dividend income play; it is now a credit-recovery stock where the key investment question is whether management can dispose of impaired assets and recycle capital fast enough to stop book-value erosion, because liquidity is adequate but dividend coverage and reported earnings remain fragile amid charge-offs and foreclosed real estate.

CreditRisk
DividendRisk
BookValue‍

Price Chart

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Financial Metrics

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Revenue (TTM)
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Net Income (TTM)
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EPS (Q)
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MCAP

Deep Analysis

Research tool. Not personalized advice.

Fundamental Analysis

4.0

Key Financial Insights:

  • Book Support
  • Leverage Risk
  • Dividend Strain

BXMT is asset-backed and trading near book value with solid 2025 cash generation, but high leverage, volatile earnings, weak dividend coverage, and expensive earnings multiples make it a cautious hold rather than a clear buy.

BXMT
DividendRisk

Price Behavior

3.0
Research tool. Not personalized advice. Technical analysis is for informational purposes only.

Key Price Behavior Insights:

  • Lower highs
  • 18.30 support
  • Weak momentum

BXMT has been in a clear short-term downtrend over the last month, with accelerating losses, broken support below $19.00/$18.50, and only a potential rebound if $18.00 holds and price reclaims $18.40-$19.00.

bearish
downtrend
Support Level: $18.00, $18.30-$18.40
Resistance Level: $18.40-$19.00

Decline accelerated on 2026-05-14 and 2026-05-15, signaling fragile momentum

Sentiment & News

4.0

Key News Insights:

  • Earnings Beat
  • Dividend Pressure
  • Balance-Sheet Strain

BXMT is still beating earnings expectations, but rising credit losses, foreclosure assets, declining book value, and new debt financing point to mounting dividend and balance-sheet pressure.

BXMT
CreditRisk

The news is likely mildly negative for BXMT, as solid earnings are being outweighed by worsening credit quality and concerns over dividend durability