Key Drivers
- Strong liquidity
- Positive FCF
- High leverage
AIAI Summary
Cadre is no longer a steady growth-with-dividend story but a timing-dependent recovery where upside now requires clear, quarter-to-quarter backlog-to-revenue conversion and clean TYR integration—failure to deliver or adverse findings in the securities probe would likely trigger sharp multiple compression given elevated valuation and leverage.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Strong liquidity
- •Positive FCF
- •High leverage
CDRE delivers solid scale and cash generation (FY revenue $610M, FCF $56.9M) with healthy margins and strong liquidity but is weighed down by elevated leverage, large intangibles and a high valuation.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Sharp ~30% drop
- •Near‑term support
- •Wide resistance band
Over the last month the stock fell from the mid‑$40s into the low $30s (last month average ≈ $39.50) with the 2026-03-20 close well below that average, reflecting a clear short‑term downtrend after a ~30%+ collapse from 2026-03-02 to 2026-03-20 and leaving near‑term support around $31 vs. resistance at $40–$46.
Rapid ~30%+ decline from 2026-03-02 to 2026-03-20 signaling elevated volatility
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •EPS miss
- •Securities probe
- •Guidance pending
Cadre missed Q4 and full-year expectations with Q4 EPS of $0.27 vs. $0.41 consensus and revenue shortfalls, prompting a shareholder investigation and heightened scrutiny as the company readies 2026 guidance.
The miss and ensuing investigation increase near-term downside risk and volatility for Cadre shares while guidance will be the key catalyst for investor sentiment
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