The GEO Group, Inc.

Fundamentals6.0
Price Action5.0
News Sentiment5.0
AI Rating
5.0

Key Drivers

  • Margin Compression
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Modest Deleveraging

AI
AI Summary

5.0

GEO has shifted into an execution-driven ICE-services growth story, with Rivers and Big Horn potentially expanding revenue materially, but at ~$32 investors should demand on-time activation, margin recovery, and sustained free cash flow to support deleveraging amid significant legal and regulatory risk.

ContractGrowth
LegalRisk
Execution‍

Price Chart

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Financial Metrics

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Revenue (TTM)
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Net Income (TTM)
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EPS (Q)
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MCAP

Deep Analysis

Research tool. Not personalized advice.

Fundamental Analysis

6.0

Key Financial Insights:

  • •Margin Compression
  • •Positive Free Cash Flow
  • •Modest Deleveraging

GEO remains profitable with strong quarterly cash generation and modest deleveraging, but margin compression, weaker liquidity, limited interest coverage, and higher valuation multiples warrant caution.

CashFlow
ValuationRisk

Price Behavior

5.0
Research tool. Not personalized advice. Technical analysis is for informational purposes only.

Key Price Behavior Insights:

  • •Mild bearish trend
  • •Support defended
  • •Resistance capped

GEO was mildly bearish last month, with support at $30.5–$30.9 and resistance at $32.1–$32.8; a breakout above resistance would improve momentum, while failure risks a retest of support.

TechnicalAnalysis
Support Level: $30.50–$30.90
Resistance Level: $32.10–$32.80

Rebound from the $30.50 early-September low

Sentiment & News

5.0

Key News Insights:

  • •Price strength
  • •Momentum screens
  • •No catalysts

GEO's recent news signals strong market momentum and price strength, with no new operational or strategic developments reported.

Momentum
NeutralNews

Positive technical sentiment may support GEO's near-term trading interest, but fundamentals remain unchanged