Key Drivers
- Improving margins
- Strong liquidity
- High leverage
AIAI Summary
Hayward has shifted from a seasonal pool‑OEM to a mid‑cycle, cash‑generative aftermarket operator (FY25 FCF ~$225M) making buybacks and durable service revenue the primary value drivers, but investors should require sustained margin recovery absent tariff refunds and demonstrable net‑leverage reduction (and a reclaim of the $15.5–$16.3 band) before upgrading the thesis.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Improving margins
- •Strong liquidity
- •High leverage
Hayward demonstrates improving margins and strong annual free cash flow with healthy liquidity, but meaningful debt and a large intangible asset base heighten risk and cause quarterly cash‑flow variability.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Short-term downtrend
- •Below last-month SMA
- •Support tested
HAYW has weakened over the last month, falling ~16% from $16.27 to $13.64 and trading about 9% below its last-month SMA, signaling a short-term downtrend with support near $13.60 and resistance at $15.50–$16.30.
~16% decline from $16.27 to $13.64 over the last month indicating strong selling pressure
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Q4 EPS beat
- •Big stake reduction
- •Technically oversold
Hayward outperformed estimates in Q4 and raised guidance amid analyst upgrades and technical oversold conditions despite a large institutional stake sale.
The operational beat plus analyst upgrades could spur a rebound, but the recent large institutional exit and short-term price weakness raise execution and sentiment risk
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