Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.

Fundamentals8.0
Price Action6.0
News Sentiment6.0
AI Rating
7.0

Key Drivers

  • High FCF yield
  • Low financial leverage
  • Deferred-revenue risk

AI
AI Summary

7.0

HRTG has transitioned into a capital-rich, cash-flow-first story where sustained low combined ratios and ~$177M FCF fund buybacks and targeted E&S expansion—so treat it as a de‑risked cash-return/discipline trade rather than a wait-for-cycle recovery, contingent on repeatable underwriting. Monitor three actionables closely: quarterly combined-ratio sustainability, reserve development and receivable cash conversion, and reinsurance program terms—any negative surprise on these would quickly reverse the rerating.

CashReturn
ReserveRisk
Execution‍

Price Chart

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Financial Metrics

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Revenue (TTM)
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Net Income (TTM)
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EPS (Q)
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MCAP

Deep Analysis

Research tool. Not personalized advice.

Fundamental Analysis

8.0

Key Financial Insights:

  • High FCF yield
  • Low financial leverage
  • Deferred-revenue risk

HRTG is a high-cash, high-margin, low-leverage business trading at a deep discount to tangible book and cash flow but with concentrated deferred revenue/receivable risk to cash conversion.

Undervalued
RevenueRisk

Price Behavior

6.0
Research tool. Not personalized advice. Technical analysis is for informational purposes only.

Key Price Behavior Insights:

  • Modest uptrend
  • Sharp pullbacks
  • Elevated volatility

Over last month HRTG shows a modest net uptrend but choppy trading with elevated volatility and a clear resistance near $28.45 and support near $23.46 that will define bullish or bearish confirmation.

Choppy
Volatile
Support Level: $23.46
Resistance Level: $28.45

~20% high‑low range last month and a ~9–10% drop from $28.45 on 2026-03-16 to the 2026-03-20 close

Sentiment & News

6.0

Key News Insights:

  • Q4 EPS beat
  • Analyst upgrades
  • Mixed market reaction

Heritage beat Q4 EPS on pricing and premium growth with analyst upgrades and E&S-driven expansion, but stock reaction remains mixed amid ongoing investor scrutiny.

Earnings
Diversification

The strong quarter and strategic growth levers support a cautiously positive outlook for gradual earnings and policy growth, but share volatility may persist until sentiment stabilizes