Key Drivers
- Strong FCF
- High intangibles
- Near‑par leverage
AIAI Summary
ICF's strategic pivot from federal-heavy work to a diversified, higher‑margin nonfederal and energy/sustainability mix materially reduces shutdown sensitivity and creates a clear upside path—actionable play: wait for consecutive quarters of book-to-bill >1.0 and net leverage moving toward <2x (or consider a tactical entry if price holds ~66 support and bookings stabilize) because execution and high intangibles/debt remain the key downside risks.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Strong FCF
- •High intangibles
- •Near‑par leverage
ICFI delivers steady cash generation and respectable ROIC with moderate valuation, but near‑par leverage, large intangibles, and limited short‑term liquidity are key risks.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Downtrend intact
- •Tight support
- •Resistance cap
ICFI is in a clear downtrend over the last month, plunging ~16.6% to $65.89 with key support around $65.90–$66.40 and resistance at $75–$78, so caution is warranted until support holds on multiple tests or price closes above $75–$78.
Rapid ~16.6% drop over the last month signaling sharp short-term weakness
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Improving mix
- •Strong bookings
- •EPS miss
ICF posted Q4 revenue of $444M and FY‑2025 $1.9B with improving commercial/energy mix and $2.2B bookings, but a non‑GAAP EPS miss ( $1.47 vs $1.53) and cautious 2026 guidance tempered the shares.
Near‑term stock pressure from the earnings shortfall is likely, though the strategic shift to higher‑margin commercial and energy work supports moderate upside over 2026
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