Key Drivers
- Strong FCF
- Discounted TBV
- Modest returns
AIAI Summary
KEY's strategic shift from a pure NII-dependent regional bank to a hybrid franchise—where IB/capital‑markets, wealth/AUM, and disciplined buybacks can materially compress the P/TBV gap—means upside now hinges on fee execution and capital allocation as much as NIM. If deposit beta or capital‑markets activity falter, earnings and valuation will suffer—remain neutral and consider buying selectively only after evidence of sustained fee growth, stable NIM, CET1 comfortably >~10.5%, and price clearing the $20.10 resistance.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Strong FCF
- •Discounted TBV
- •Modest returns
KEY generates strong free cash flow and healthy EBITDA margins yet trades at a material discount to tangible book while delivering only modest ROE/ROA and showing balance-sheet and financing risks.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Below last month average
- •Failed swing highs
- •Support cluster
KEY is short-term bearish: price (close $19.41) sits below the last month SMA (~$20.10) acting as resistance after fades from late‑Feb highs near $21.6–$22, with nearby support around $18.90–$19.00 that if broken would signal further weakness.
Swift upswings into late
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Institutional accumulation
- •Dividend appeal
- •Rate sensitivity
Institutional buying, dividend-focused analyst praise, awards and a consumer partnership underscore KeyCorp's investor appeal and client-strength, although shares remain sensitive to Fed-driven rate/inflation moves.
Continued institutional inflows and positive coverage bolster valuation and dividend stability, but expect short-term volatility tied to monetary policy and inflation news
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