LOMA
Basic MaterialsLoma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima
Key Drivers
- High margins
- Strong FCF
- High leverage
AIAI Summary
Loma Negra has shifted from a high-margin cash machine to a recovery-in-progress story after a sharp 4Q25 margin reset, softer volumes, and new bond issuance—investors should now price in materially lower normalized margins and prioritize watching management's guidance for high-single-digit 2026 volume growth plus sequential EBITDA margin and operating cash-flow improvement over the next two quarters as the make-or-break trigger for re-rating. If margins and OCF don't firm, refinancing risk and tax/working-capital drains could force capex cuts or asset sales, materially worsening the outlook.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •High margins
- •Strong FCF
- •High leverage
LOMA delivers strong high-margin profitability and cash generation with conservative valuation multiples, but material leverage, tight short-term liquidity, heavy capex and large tax liabilities limit financial flexibility.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •downtrend intact
- •narrow consolidation
- •key support $9.85
LOMA is modestly bearish: price dropped ~11.8% over the last month to $10.06 and trades below the last month's SMA (~$10.33), with near-term support at $9.85 and resistance $10.50–$10.65 (stronger at $11.41).
Gradual ~11.8% decline from $11.41 to $10.06 over the last month, no sharp capitulation
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Margin compression
- •Soft construction
- •Stretched valuation
Loma Negra reported sharply weaker 4Q25 results with a ~900bp drop in consolidated EBITDA margin, large cement-margin compression and soft industry demand, leaving valuation stretched versus cycle-average earnings.
The weak 4Q25 performance and delayed demand recovery likely pressure near-term earnings and investor sentiment, increasing downside risk to the stock
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