Key Drivers
- Cash Generation
- Profitability Slump
- Intangible Risk
AIAI Summary
MAT is shifting from a steady consumer brand to an IP-monetization turnaround, but with negative operating income/free cash flow, shrinking cash, and a downtrending stock, investors should wait for proof of sustained margin and cash recovery before treating the Q2 uplift as durable.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Cash Generation
- •Profitability Slump
- •Intangible Risk
MAT delivered solid FY2025 profitability and cash generation, but the latest quarter weakened sharply with negative operating income and free cash flow, higher intangible-asset risk, and a valuation that looks fair-to-slightly demanding rather than cheap.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Bearish trend
- •Near-term support
- •Overhead resistance
MAT has been in a clear downtrend over the last month, but it is nearing $13.30–$13.40 support; a move back above $13.88–$14.04 would signal stabilization, while $14.65–$14.70 remains the key resistance.
Broke below $14.65–$14.69 and kept printing lower highs/lows after
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Brand Monetization
- •Convention Demand
- •Fan Engagement
Mattel is leaning into fan engagement, licensing, and limited-edition collectibles to monetize its strongest brands and keep demand elevated.
The steady flow of IP-driven releases and events may support sentiment around MAT by signaling durable brand power and recurring collectible demand
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