Mercury General Corporation

Fundamentals8.0
Price Action6.0
News Sentiment7.0
AI Rating
7.0

Key Drivers

  • High profitability
  • Strong free cashflow
  • Large deferred revenue

AI
AI Summary

7.0

Mercury has shifted from a wildfire-hit solvency story to a capital-rich, underwriting-disciplined insurer where the investment case now hinges on catastrophe normalization and effective reinsurance—if combined ratios sustainably stay <100%, the ~$1.06bn FCF enables value-accretive buybacks/M&A, but elevated catastrophe/reinsurance costs are the primary downside that could reprice the stock.

CapitalReturn
CatastropheRisk
Valuation‍

Price Chart

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Financial Metrics

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Revenue (TTM)
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Net Income (TTM)
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EPS (Q)
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MCAP

Deep Analysis

Research tool. Not personalized advice.

Fundamental Analysis

8.0

Key Financial Insights:

  • High profitability
  • Strong free cashflow
  • Large deferred revenue

MCY is highly profitable with strong FCF and conservative net-debt, attractive valuation multiples, but material deferred revenue and elevated opex temper upside. ‍

SolidCash
DeferredRisk

Price Behavior

6.0
Research tool. Not personalized advice. Technical analysis is for informational purposes only.

Key Price Behavior Insights:

  • Below SMA
  • Resistance cluster
  • Support bids around 85

MCY shows short-term downside bias after closing below its last-month (21-day) SMA with nearby resistance at $90–$93 and support around $83–$85, so failure below those supports would signal larger short-term deterioration.

downside
rangebound
Support Level: $83–$85
Resistance Level: $90–$93

~10% swing from

Sentiment & News

7.0

Key News Insights:

  • Underwriting rebound
  • Affirmed ratings
  • Analyst optimism

Mercury General shows restored underwriting performance, affirmed ratings, rising analyst bullishness and active customer outreach, improving earnings visibility into early 2026.

StrongBuy
Stability

These developments should bolster share‑price resilience and reduce credit risk, positioning MCY for modest upside as disciplined pricing and customer engagement drive a steady earnings recovery