Key Drivers
- High gross margins
- Improving margins
- Negative equity
AIAI Summary
Nutanix is no longer a pure software‑subscription story — strong ARR and bookings validate durable demand, but near‑term revenue, margins, and the stock are now materially driven by OEM shipment cadence and contract start‑date timing, making NTNX a timing‑sensitive growth trade. Actionable: monitor booked ARR-to-revenue conversion rates, OEM supply/shipment updates, and FCF/debt progress—consistent conversion and AI traction unlock upside, while persistent timing delays or litigation/refinancing stress amplify downside.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •High gross margins
- •Improving margins
- •Negative equity
Nutanix combines very high gross margins, rising profitability and strong free cash flow with a heavily leveraged, negative‑equity balance sheet that raises refinancing and governance risk.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Stalled momentum
- •Recent buying
- •High-38s support
Over the last month the stock was roughly flat (down <1%) but staged an ~11% rally from $37.38 to $41.70 that stalled at resistance near $41.5–$41.7, with key support around $38.2–$38.6.
~11% intraperiod rally from $37.38 to $41.70 within the last month
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Beat Q2 estimates
- •AI partnership/Agentic AI
- •Supply-constrained guidance
Nutanix beat Q2 estimates and launched AI products/AMD partnership, but cut FY26 guidance due to AI-driven supply constraints despite strong bookings and mixed investor moves.
Expect near-term stock volatility as strong AI demand and strategic AMD collaboration support the long-term thesis while supply limits and lowered guidance pressure near-term revenue and sentiment
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