Key Drivers
- Strong cash generation
- High leverage risk
- Inventory concentration
AIAI Summary
PARR has shifted into a cycle‑driven cash generator—buoyed by higher crack spreads, operational fixes, JV proceeds and buybacks—so treat it as a tradeable, margin‑timing opportunity (size for volatility or wait for pullbacks toward $50–$53) while monitoring inventory/RIN monetization, leverage reduction and SAF/Montana execution as the decisive catalysts for sustainability.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Strong cash generation
- •High leverage risk
- •Inventory concentration
PARR is cheaply valued with strong cash generation and high returns, but thin net margins, inventory-heavy working capital and elevated debt raise solvency and margin risks.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Higher highs/lows
- •Support flip $50–$53
- •Rapid 43% run
Over the last month PARR ripped ~43% from $42.75 to $61.39, forming higher highs/lows and flipping $50–$53 into near‑term support while the swift run-up raises short‑term mean‑reversion risk and a break below $50 would weaken the bullish case.
Sharp jump from $58.02 to $61.39 on 2026-03-20 indicating short-term exhaustion risk
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Strong cash generation
- •10% buybacks
- •Mixed trading activity
Par Pacific posted strong 2025 cash generation and a ~10% share reduction via buybacks, offset by a slight Q4 EPS miss, mixed insider selling and institutional buying, and potential upside from tax NOLs and SAF tax credits.
Robust cash flow and aggressive repurchases should support the stock and enable upside if tax and SAF catalysts materialize, though the Q4 miss and insider selling may cap near-term momentum
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