The Progressive Corporation

Fundamentals9.0
Price Action5.0
News Sentiment6.0
AI Rating
7.0

Key Drivers

  • High ROE
  • Strong cash flow
  • Thin cash

AI
AI Summary

7.0

PGR remains a top-tier insurer, but the investment case has shifted from “own it for autopilot compounding” to “wait for proof of renewed underwriting and margin expansion,” because current valuation already appears to reflect much of the quality and recent outperformance.

Quality
MarginPressure
Valuation‍

Price Chart

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Financial Metrics

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Revenue (TTM)
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Net Income (TTM)
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EPS (Q)
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MCAP

Deep Analysis

Research tool. Not personalized advice.

Fundamental Analysis

9.0

Key Financial Insights:

  • High ROE
  • Strong cash flow
  • Thin cash

Progressive remains a high-quality insurer with exceptional profitability, strong cash flow and coverage, but thin cash on hand and a valuation that already prices in much of the strength.

profitability
valuation

Price Behavior

5.0
Research tool. Not personalized advice. Technical analysis is for informational purposes only.

Key Price Behavior Insights:

  • Failed breakout
  • Clear support
  • Lower highs

Over the last month, PGR faded after stalling near $219-$220, slipped below the $212-$216 band, and now needs to hold $205-$207 to avoid a deeper pullback.

PGR
Resistance
Support Level: $205-$207
Resistance Level: $219-$220

Rally to about $220 reversed into lower highs and a momentum fade

Sentiment & News

6.0

Key News Insights:

  • Earnings Review
  • Underwriting Pressure
  • Growth Expansion

Progressive is in a constructive post-earnings review phase, with growth initiatives like bundled auto/home and partnerships offset by closer scrutiny of a widening combined ratio.

PGR
Insurance

The news is mildly positive overall, but sustained focus on underwriting discipline will be key to maintaining investor confidence