Key Drivers
- Strong equity base
- Large operating losses
- Negative free cashflow
AIAI Summary
RDW's evolution from an R&D consolidator into a defense‑tilted, repeatable production company materially improves the upside case, but the investment hinges on timely conversion of its record backlog into sequential EBITDA and positive FCF (watch book‑to‑bill >1.2 and 4–8 quarter FCF/EBITDA inflection); failure to do so risks dilutive financings and impairment-driven downside.
Price Chart
Financial Metrics
Deep Analysis
Research tool. Not personalized advice.
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights:
- •Strong equity base
- •Large operating losses
- •Negative free cashflow
RDW is well‑capitalized with low reported leverage and adequate liquidity but suffers severe profitability and cash‑flow stress from large operating losses, negative EBITDA/FCF, and an intangible‑heavy balance sheet.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights:
- •Mild uptrend
- •Failed breakout
- •Range-bound mid-price
Over the last month RDW shows mild upside—SMA ≈ $9.17 vs close $9.20 and a ~15% rise from $7.99 to $9.20, with support at $8.00–$8.62 and near-term resistance at $10.13 after a failed breakout.
~15% climb from $7.99 (2026-02-20) to $9.20 (2026-03-20) with rejection at $10.13 (2026-03-17)
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights:
- •Revenue momentum
- •Record backlog
- •Defense wins
Redwire reported strong FY25 revenue growth, a record $411M backlog and 2026 guidance of $450–$500M while flagging a large FY25 loss from one‑time and development costs amid expanding defense wins and product commercialization.
The company's top‑line strength and contract wins support upside to 2026 growth, but near‑term profitability pressures keep the stock sensitive to margin improvement
Similar Companies in Industrials
Other companies in the same sector with AI ratings