TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

Fundamentals6.0
Price Action5.0
News Sentiment7.0
AI Rating
6.0

Key Drivers

  • High margins
  • Strong FCF
  • Elevated leverage

AI
AI Summary

6.0

TKO has shifted from a growth/rights play to a cash-return, high‑FCF entertainment operator where large buybacks/dividends and secured media deals materially de‑risk long‑term revenue but also make the equity highly sensitive to event‑mix and cash‑timing volatility and balance‑sheet strain. Actionable: consider tactical buying with a clear stop (<$188) for short-term asymmetry, but only reset a buy‑and‑hold thesis after consistent quarterly cash convertibility, margin expansion from partnerships, and demonstrable deleveraging.

CashReturn
Leverage
EventTiming‍

Price Chart

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Financial Metrics

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Revenue (TTM)
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Net Income (TTM)
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EPS (Q)
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MCAP

Deep Analysis

Research tool. Not personalized advice.

Fundamental Analysis

6.0

Key Financial Insights:

  • High margins
  • Strong FCF
  • Elevated leverage

TKO delivers strong gross and EBITDA margins with robust annual free cash flow but faces high leverage, large intangibles, low asset turnover and very rich valuation that limit upside.

Overvalued
CashFlow

Price Behavior

5.0
Research tool. Not personalized advice. Technical analysis is for informational purposes only.

Key Price Behavior Insights:

  • Below last-month SMA
  • Very weak momentum
  • Tight support range

TKO is decisively bearish—trading well below its last-month SMA (~$206.6) with momentum extremely weak (RSI ≈ 20), sitting on support around $188–$194 but facing resistance near $206–$224 and at risk of further downside after the sharp drop into $188 on 2026-03-20. ‌

bearish
oversold
Support Level: $188–$194
Resistance Level: $206–$224

Sharp decline into $188 on 2026-03-20 indicating accelerated selling pressure

Sentiment & News

7.0

Key News Insights:

  • Strong results
  • Capital returns
  • Commercial expansion

TKO reported strong FY2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA, announced $150M quarterly dividend plus a $1B buyback, saw rising institutional interest and WWE commercial expansion but faces a potentially costly UFC event risk.

earnings

The combination of robust results and aggressive buybacks/dividends should support the stock near term, though the expensive UFC event risk could pressure margins if realized