Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.

Fundamentals6.0
Price Action6.0
News Sentiment7.0
AI Rating
6.0

Key Drivers

  • Cash Generation
  • Thin Net Margin
  • Moderate Leverage

AI
AI Summary

6.0

ZGN is now better viewed as a DTC-led brand quality story than a pure revenue-recovery trade, with strong cash generation and gross margins supporting the thesis, but the stock's upside now depends on proving durable net margin expansion while absorbing wholesale decline, Thom Browne weakness, and China execution risk.

MarginExpansion
ExecutionRisk
DTC‍

Price Chart

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Financial Metrics

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Revenue (TTM)
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Net Income (TTM)
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EPS (Q)
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MCAP

Deep Analysis

Research tool. Not personalized advice.

Fundamental Analysis

6.0

Key Financial Insights:

  • Cash Generation
  • Thin Net Margin
  • Moderate Leverage

ZGN looks like a solid but not especially compelling investment: strong gross profitability and free cash flow are offset by moderate leverage, thin net margins, and only mid-range returns on capital.

cashflow
leverage

Price Behavior

6.0
Research tool. Not personalized advice. Technical analysis is for informational purposes only.

Key Price Behavior Insights:

  • Higher base
  • Resistance stall
  • Support test

ZGN has maintained a mildly constructive uptrend over the last month, but momentum has cooled after stalling near $13.16, so bulls need a sustained reclaim of $13.00-$13.20 to keep the breakout intact.

bullish
watchlist
Support Level: $12.10-$12.40
Resistance Level: $13.00-$13.20

Pulled back from the $13.16 peak after breaking above the $11.50-$12.00 range

Sentiment & News

7.0

Key News Insights:

  • DTC strength
  • China recovery
  • Full valuation

Zegna delivered a solid Q1 with 2.5% revenue growth (7.4% organic), led by DTC strength and improving China trends, while the AGM notice was routine.

Earnings
Luxury

The update is modestly positive for ZGN as operating momentum improves, but upside may be capped by its already full valuation